Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Boston Bruins have a 88.0% chance to make the playoffs, down 1.0 points since yesterday, and a 26.4% chance to win the Atlantic. They project to 107 points (likely 95 to 118), from 10,000 simulations.
Points to guarantee a spot
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 8th hardest of 32
Who should Bruins fans root for tonight?
Change in Bruins playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Eastern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 26 | 99% | −0.1 | 80% | 114 | |
| 2 | 14 | 20 | 89% | −0.2 | 31% | 107 | |
| 3 | 16 | 23 | 88% | −1.0 | 26% | 107 | |
| 4 | 15 | 21 | 88% | −0.5 | 26% | 107 | |
| 5 | 15 | 20 | 73% | +0.7 | 10% | 99 | |
| 6 | 17 | 21 | 63% | +7.8 | 7% | 99 | |
| 7 | 15 | 17 | 61% | −11.8 | 6% | 99 | |
| 8 | 14 | 16 | 56% | −0.6 | 5% | 95 | |
| 9 | 14 | 16 | 46% | −0.7 | 3% | 94 | |
| 10 | 16 | 20 | 42% | +7.3 | 3% | 95 | |
| 11 | 16 | 17 | 23% | −0.3 | <1% | 90 | |
| 12 | 13 | 12 | 21% | +0.6 | <1% | 87 | |
| 13 | 16 | 17 | 20% | +0.3 | <1% | 87 | |
| 14 | 17 | 18 | 13% | −0.3 | <1% | 87 | |
| 15 | 15 | 12 | 12% | −0.7 | <1% | 84 | |
| 16 | 17 | 12 | 5% | −0.5 | <1% | 80 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Bruins playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Bruins' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Boston Bruins have a 88.0% chance to make the playoffs (down 1.0 points since yesterday) and a 26.4% chance to win the Atlantic Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Bruins' magic number?
- The Bruins need 134 more points to guarantee a playoff spot whatever anyone else does (tiebreakers ignored, so it is slightly conservative). They have 68 games left.
- How many points will the Bruins finish with?
- The model projects about 107 points, with 95 to 118 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 121.
- How hard is the Bruins' remaining schedule?
- Their 68 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.566 in the official standings, the 8th hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Bruins fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Golden Knights at Red Wings: root for the Golden Knights, worth +0.5 points of playoff odds compared with a Red Wings regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Bruins schedule · Bruins tonight