Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Pittsburgh Penguins have a 12.1% chance to make the playoffs, down 0.7 points since yesterday, and a 0.3% chance to win the Metropolitan. They project to 84 points (likely 73 to 96), from 10,000 simulations.
Not yet in their own hands
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 7th hardest of 32
Who should Pens fans root for tonight?
Change in Pens playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Pens vs Bruins+4.2
Root for Blues over Devils+0.6
Root for Stars over Blue Jackets+0.5
Root for Hurricanes over Islanders+0.4
Root for Flyers over Rangers+0.2
Root for Golden Knights over Red Wings+0.1
Mammoth at CanadiensBarely matters
Blackhawks at LightningBarely matters
Canucks at JetsBarely matters
Ducks at OilersBarely matters
Predators at AvalancheBarely mattersEastern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hurricanes | 17 | 26 | 99% | −0.1 | 80% | 114 |
| 2 |  Lightning | 14 | 20 | 89% | −0.2 | 31% | 107 |
| 3 |  Bruins | 16 | 23 | 88% | −1.0 | 26% | 107 |
| 4 |  Canadiens | 15 | 21 | 88% | −0.5 | 26% | 107 |
| 5 |  Devils | 15 | 20 | 73% | +0.7 | 10% | 99 |
| 6 |  Senators | 17 | 21 | 63% | +7.8 | 7% | 99 |
| 7 |  Sabres | 15 | 17 | 61% | −11.8 | 6% | 99 |
| 8 |  Capitals | 14 | 16 | 56% | −0.6 | 5% | 95 |
| 9 |  Islanders | 14 | 16 | 46% | −0.7 | 3% | 94 |
| 10 |  Panthers | 16 | 20 | 42% | +7.3 | 3% | 95 |
| 11 |  Red Wings | 16 | 17 | 23% | −0.3 | <1% | 90 |
| 12 |  Blue Jackets | 13 | 12 | 21% | +0.6 | <1% | 87 |
| 13 |  Rangers | 16 | 17 | 20% | +0.3 | <1% | 87 |
| 14 |  Maple Leafs | 17 | 18 | 13% | −0.3 | <1% | 87 |
| 15 | Penguins | 15 | 12 | 12% | −0.7 | <1% | 84 |
| 16 | Flyers | 17 | 12 | 5% | −0.5 | <1% | 80 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Penguins playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Penguins' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Pittsburgh Penguins have a 12.1% chance to make the playoffs (down 0.7 points since yesterday) and a 0.3% chance to win the Metropolitan Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Penguins' magic number?
- The Pens cannot clinch on their own yet: guaranteeing a spot would take more than the 138 points left in their 69 games, so it still depends on other results.
- How many points will the Penguins finish with?
- The model projects about 84 points, with 73 to 96 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 67.
- How hard is the Penguins' remaining schedule?
- Their 69 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.567 in the official standings, the 7th hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Penguins fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Blues at Devils: root for the Blues, worth +0.6 points of playoff odds compared with a Devils regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Pens schedule · Pens tonight