Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Detroit Red Wings have a 23.0% chance to make the playoffs, down 0.3 points since yesterday, and a 0.8% chance to win the Atlantic. They project to 90 points (likely 78 to 101), from 10,000 simulations.
Not yet in their own hands
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 2nd hardest of 32
Who should Wings fans root for tonight?
Change in Wings playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Wings vs Golden Knights+6.4
Root for Mammoth over Canadiens+0.6
Root for Blackhawks over Lightning+0.5
Root for Penguins over Bruins+0.3
Root for Hurricanes over Islanders+0.3
Root for Flyers over Rangers+0.3
Root for Stars over Blue Jackets+0.2
Root for Blues over Devils+0.2
Canucks at JetsBarely matters
Ducks at OilersBarely matters
Predators at AvalancheBarely mattersEastern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hurricanes | 17 | 26 | 99% | −0.1 | 80% | 114 |
| 2 |  Lightning | 14 | 20 | 89% | −0.2 | 31% | 107 |
| 3 |  Bruins | 16 | 23 | 88% | −1.0 | 26% | 107 |
| 4 |  Canadiens | 15 | 21 | 88% | −0.5 | 26% | 107 |
| 5 |  Devils | 15 | 20 | 73% | +0.7 | 10% | 99 |
| 6 |  Senators | 17 | 21 | 63% | +7.8 | 7% | 99 |
| 7 |  Sabres | 15 | 17 | 61% | −11.8 | 6% | 99 |
| 8 |  Capitals | 14 | 16 | 56% | −0.6 | 5% | 95 |
| 9 |  Islanders | 14 | 16 | 46% | −0.7 | 3% | 94 |
| 10 |  Panthers | 16 | 20 | 42% | +7.3 | 3% | 95 |
| 11 | Red Wings | 16 | 17 | 23% | −0.3 | <1% | 90 |
| 12 |  Blue Jackets | 13 | 12 | 21% | +0.6 | <1% | 87 |
| 13 |  Rangers | 16 | 17 | 20% | +0.3 | <1% | 87 |
| 14 |  Maple Leafs | 17 | 18 | 13% | −0.3 | <1% | 87 |
| 15 | Penguins | 15 | 12 | 12% | −0.7 | <1% | 84 |
| 16 | Flyers | 17 | 12 | 5% | −0.5 | <1% | 80 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Red Wings playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Red Wings' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Detroit Red Wings have a 23.0% chance to make the playoffs (down 0.3 points since yesterday) and a 0.8% chance to win the Atlantic Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Red Wings' magic number?
- The Wings cannot clinch on their own yet: guaranteeing a spot would take more than the 136 points left in their 68 games, so it still depends on other results.
- How many points will the Red Wings finish with?
- The model projects about 90 points, with 78 to 101 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 89.
- How hard is the Red Wings' remaining schedule?
- Their 68 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.576 in the official standings, the 2nd hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Red Wings fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Mammoth at Canadiens: root for the Mammoth, worth +0.6 points of playoff odds compared with a Canadiens regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Wings schedule · Wings tonight