Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Philadelphia Flyers have a 5.0% chance to make the playoffs, down 0.5 points since yesterday, and a 0.1% chance to win the Metropolitan. They project to 80 points (likely 69 to 91), from 10,000 simulations.
Not yet in their own hands
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 15th hardest of 32
Who should Flyers fans root for tonight?
Change in Flyers playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Flyers at Rangers+2.5
Root for Hurricanes over Islanders+0.4
Root for Blues over Devils+0.2
Root for Stars over Blue Jackets+0.2
Bruins at PenguinsBarely matters
Golden Knights at Red WingsBarely matters
Blackhawks at LightningBarely matters
Mammoth at CanadiensBarely matters
Canucks at JetsBarely matters
Ducks at OilersBarely matters
Predators at AvalancheBarely mattersEastern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hurricanes | 17 | 26 | 99% | −0.1 | 80% | 114 |
| 2 |  Lightning | 14 | 20 | 89% | −0.2 | 31% | 107 |
| 3 | Bruins | 16 | 23 | 88% | −1.0 | 26% | 107 |
| 4 |  Canadiens | 15 | 21 | 88% | −0.5 | 26% | 107 |
| 5 |  Devils | 15 | 20 | 73% | +0.7 | 10% | 99 |
| 6 |  Senators | 17 | 21 | 63% | +7.8 | 7% | 99 |
| 7 |  Sabres | 15 | 17 | 61% | −11.8 | 6% | 99 |
| 8 |  Capitals | 14 | 16 | 56% | −0.6 | 5% | 95 |
| 9 |  Islanders | 14 | 16 | 46% | −0.7 | 3% | 94 |
| 10 |  Panthers | 16 | 20 | 42% | +7.3 | 3% | 95 |
| 11 |  Red Wings | 16 | 17 | 23% | −0.3 | <1% | 90 |
| 12 |  Blue Jackets | 13 | 12 | 21% | +0.6 | <1% | 87 |
| 13 |  Rangers | 16 | 17 | 20% | +0.3 | <1% | 87 |
| 14 |  Maple Leafs | 17 | 18 | 13% | −0.3 | <1% | 87 |
| 15 |  Penguins | 15 | 12 | 12% | −0.7 | <1% | 84 |
| 16 | Flyers | 17 | 12 | 5% | −0.5 | <1% | 80 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Flyers playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Flyers' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Philadelphia Flyers have a 5.0% chance to make the playoffs (down 0.5 points since yesterday) and a 0.1% chance to win the Metropolitan Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Flyers' magic number?
- The Flyers cannot clinch on their own yet: guaranteeing a spot would take more than the 134 points left in their 67 games, so it still depends on other results.
- How many points will the Flyers finish with?
- The model projects about 80 points, with 69 to 91 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 59.
- How hard is the Flyers' remaining schedule?
- Their 67 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.557 in the official standings, the 15th hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Flyers fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Hurricanes at Islanders: root for the Hurricanes, worth +0.4 points of playoff odds compared with a Islanders regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Flyers schedule · Flyers tonight