NHL playoff picture

Playoff odds for every team

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the regular season, run once a day. How the model works

#	Team	Playoffs	Change	Division	Proj. pts
1	Carolina Hurricanes	99%	−0.1	80%	114
2	Edmonton Oilers	98%	0.0	69%	111
3	Minnesota Wild	98%	−0.1	51%	111
4	Dallas Stars	92%	−0.5	20%	105
5	Colorado Avalanche	91%	−0.5	19%	104
6	Tampa Bay Lightning	89%	−0.2	31%	107
7	Boston Bruins	88%	−1.0	26%	107
8	Montréal Canadiens	88%	−0.5	26%	107
9	Vegas Golden Knights	87%	−0.3	20%	102
10	Utah Mammoth	78%	+0.4	7%	99
11	New Jersey Devils	73%	+0.7	10%	99
12	Seattle Kraken	67%	+6.8	7%	96
13	Ottawa Senators	63%	+7.8	7%	99
14	Buffalo Sabres	61%	−11.8	6%	99
15	Washington Capitals	56%	−0.6	5%	95
16	Nashville Predators	52%	−0.2	2%	94
17	New York Islanders	46%	−0.7	3%	94
18	Florida Panthers	42%	+7.3	3%	95
19	Anaheim Ducks	40%	−0.6	3%	90
20	St. Louis Blues	31%	−1.2	<1%	89
21	Los Angeles Kings	23%	+6.3	<1%	86
22	Detroit Red Wings	23%	−0.3	<1%	90
23	Columbus Blue Jackets	21%	+0.6	<1%	87
24	New York Rangers	20%	+0.3	<1%	87
25	Calgary Flames	18%	−0.1	<1%	84
26	San Jose Sharks	16%	−9.0	<1%	84
27	Toronto Maple Leafs	13%	−0.3	<1%	87
28	Pittsburgh Penguins	12%	−0.7	<1%	84
29	Winnipeg Jets	8%	−0.5	<1%	81
30	Philadelphia Flyers	5%	−0.5	<1%	80
31	Chicago Blackhawks	<1%	−0.3	0%	69
32	Vancouver Canucks	<1%	0.0	0%	59

Playoff picture, answered

What is the NHL playoff picture right now?

As of Thursday, November 5, if the season ended today the playoff teams would be Eastern: Bruins, Canadiens, Senators, Hurricanes, Devils, Rangers, Lightning, Panthers; Western: Wild, Mammoth, Stars, Oilers, Golden Knights, Kraken, Avalanche, Predators. Sixteen teams qualify: the top three in each division plus two wild cards per conference.

How many teams make the NHL playoffs?

Sixteen of the 32 teams: the top three in each of the four divisions qualify automatically, and the next two teams in each conference by points take the wild cards.

How do NHL playoff tiebreakers work?

Teams level on points are separated by points percentage, then regulation wins, regulation plus overtime wins, total wins, head-to-head points and goal differential.

How are the playoff odds calculated?

The Tonight.hockey model simulates the rest of the regular season 10,000 times once a day from official NHL results and the remaining schedule, and counts how often each team gets in.

Standings are the official NHL standings. More on the format: how the NHL playoffs work.