Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Colorado Avalanche have a 90.9% chance to make the playoffs, down 0.5 points since yesterday, and a 18.7% chance to win the Central. They project to 104 points (likely 93 to 115), from 10,000 simulations.
Not yet in their own hands
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 17th hardest of 32
Who should Avs fans root for tonight?
Change in Avs playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Avs vs Predators+4.0
Root for Devils over Blues+0.5
Root for Canadiens over Mammoth+0.4
Root for Oilers over Ducks+0.4
Root for Canucks over Jets+0.3
Root for Blue Jackets over Stars+0.2
Golden Knights at Red WingsBarely matters
Blackhawks at LightningBarely matters
Hurricanes at IslandersBarely matters
Flyers at RangersBarely matters
Bruins at PenguinsBarely mattersWestern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oilers | 16 | 25 | 98% | 0.0 | 69% | 111 |
| 2 |  Wild | 17 | 25 | 98% | −0.1 | 51% | 111 |
| 3 |  Stars | 15 | 19 | 92% | −0.5 | 20% | 105 |
| 4 | Avalanche | 16 | 19 | 91% | −0.5 | 19% | 104 |
| 5 |  Golden Knights | 17 | 22 | 87% | −0.3 | 20% | 102 |
| 6 |  Mammoth | 16 | 20 | 78% | +0.4 | 7% | 99 |
| 7 |  Kraken | 15 | 19 | 67% | +6.8 | 7% | 96 |
| 8 |  Predators | 15 | 17 | 52% | −0.2 | 2% | 94 |
| 9 |  Ducks | 15 | 15 | 40% | −0.6 | 3% | 90 |
| 10 |  Blues | 15 | 15 | 31% | −1.2 | <1% | 89 |
| 11 |  Kings | 14 | 12 | 23% | +6.3 | <1% | 86 |
| 12 |  Flames | 16 | 15 | 18% | −0.1 | <1% | 84 |
| 13 |  Sharks | 17 | 15 | 16% | −9.0 | <1% | 84 |
| 14 |  Jets | 16 | 13 | 8% | −0.5 | <1% | 81 |
| 15 |  Blackhawks | 16 | 9 | <1% | −0.3 | 0% | 69 |
| 16 | Canucks | 17 | 7 | <1% | 0.0 | 0% | 59 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Avalanche playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Avalanche' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Colorado Avalanche have a 90.9% chance to make the playoffs (down 0.5 points since yesterday) and a 18.7% chance to win the Central Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Avalanche' magic number?
- The Avs cannot clinch on their own yet: guaranteeing a spot would take more than the 136 points left in their 68 games, so it still depends on other results.
- How many points will the Avalanche finish with?
- The model projects about 104 points, with 93 to 115 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 100.
- How hard is the Avalanche' remaining schedule?
- Their 68 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.556 in the official standings, the 17th hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Avalanche fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Blues at Devils: root for the Devils, worth +0.5 points of playoff odds compared with a Blues regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Avs schedule · Avs tonight