Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the San Jose Sharks have a 16.2% chance to make the playoffs, down 9.0 points since yesterday, and a 0.4% chance to win the Pacific. They project to 84 points (likely 73 to 95), from 10,000 simulations.
Not yet in their own hands
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 21st hardest of 32
Who should Sharks fans root for tonight?
Change in Sharks playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Western Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 25 | 98% | 0.0 | 69% | 111 | |
| 2 | 17 | 25 | 98% | −0.1 | 51% | 111 | |
| 3 | 15 | 19 | 92% | −0.5 | 20% | 105 | |
| 4 | 16 | 19 | 91% | −0.5 | 19% | 104 | |
| 5 | 17 | 22 | 87% | −0.3 | 20% | 102 | |
| 6 | 16 | 20 | 78% | +0.4 | 7% | 99 | |
| 7 | 15 | 19 | 67% | +6.8 | 7% | 96 | |
| 8 | 15 | 17 | 52% | −0.2 | 2% | 94 | |
| 9 | 15 | 15 | 40% | −0.6 | 3% | 90 | |
| 10 | 15 | 15 | 31% | −1.2 | <1% | 89 | |
| 11 | 14 | 12 | 23% | +6.3 | <1% | 86 | |
| 12 | 16 | 15 | 18% | −0.1 | <1% | 84 | |
| 13 | 17 | 15 | 16% | −9.0 | <1% | 84 | |
| 14 | 16 | 13 | 8% | −0.5 | <1% | 81 | |
| 15 | 16 | 9 | <1% | −0.3 | 0% | 69 | |
| 16 | 17 | 7 | <1% | 0.0 | 0% | 59 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Sharks playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Sharks' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the San Jose Sharks have a 16.2% chance to make the playoffs (down 9.0 points since yesterday) and a 0.4% chance to win the Pacific Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Sharks' magic number?
- The Sharks cannot clinch on their own yet: guaranteeing a spot would take more than the 134 points left in their 67 games, so it still depends on other results.
- How many points will the Sharks finish with?
- The model projects about 84 points, with 73 to 95 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 74.
- How hard is the Sharks' remaining schedule?
- Their 67 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.548 in the official standings, the 21st hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Sharks fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Ducks at Oilers: root for the Oilers, worth +0.8 points of playoff odds compared with a Ducks regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Sharks schedule · Sharks tonight