Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Anaheim Ducks have a 40.5% chance to make the playoffs, down 0.6 points since yesterday, and a 2.5% chance to win the Pacific. They project to 90 points (likely 79 to 101), from 10,000 simulations.
Not yet in their own hands
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 18th hardest of 32
Who should Ducks fans root for tonight?
Change in Ducks playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Ducks at Oilers+8.0
Root for Red Wings over Golden Knights+0.7
Root for Devils over Blues+0.6
Root for Canadiens over Mammoth+0.5
Root for Avalanche over Predators+0.5
Root for Blue Jackets over Stars+0.4
Root for Canucks over Jets+0.2
Blackhawks at LightningBarely matters
Hurricanes at IslandersBarely matters
Flyers at RangersBarely matters
Bruins at PenguinsBarely mattersWestern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oilers | 16 | 25 | 98% | 0.0 | 69% | 111 |
| 2 |  Wild | 17 | 25 | 98% | −0.1 | 51% | 111 |
| 3 |  Stars | 15 | 19 | 92% | −0.5 | 20% | 105 |
| 4 | Avalanche | 16 | 19 | 91% | −0.5 | 19% | 104 |
| 5 |  Golden Knights | 17 | 22 | 87% | −0.3 | 20% | 102 |
| 6 |  Mammoth | 16 | 20 | 78% | +0.4 | 7% | 99 |
| 7 |  Kraken | 15 | 19 | 67% | +6.8 | 7% | 96 |
| 8 |  Predators | 15 | 17 | 52% | −0.2 | 2% | 94 |
| 9 | Ducks | 15 | 15 | 40% | −0.6 | 3% | 90 |
| 10 |  Blues | 15 | 15 | 31% | −1.2 | <1% | 89 |
| 11 |  Kings | 14 | 12 | 23% | +6.3 | <1% | 86 |
| 12 |  Flames | 16 | 15 | 18% | −0.1 | <1% | 84 |
| 13 |  Sharks | 17 | 15 | 16% | −9.0 | <1% | 84 |
| 14 |  Jets | 16 | 13 | 8% | −0.5 | <1% | 81 |
| 15 |  Blackhawks | 16 | 9 | <1% | −0.3 | 0% | 69 |
| 16 | Canucks | 17 | 7 | <1% | 0.0 | 0% | 59 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Ducks playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Ducks' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Anaheim Ducks have a 40.5% chance to make the playoffs (down 0.6 points since yesterday) and a 2.5% chance to win the Pacific Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Ducks' magic number?
- The Ducks cannot clinch on their own yet: guaranteeing a spot would take more than the 138 points left in their 69 games, so it still depends on other results.
- How many points will the Ducks finish with?
- The model projects about 90 points, with 79 to 101 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 84.
- How hard is the Ducks' remaining schedule?
- Their 69 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.554 in the official standings, the 18th hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Ducks fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Golden Knights at Red Wings: root for the Red Wings, worth +0.7 points of playoff odds compared with a Golden Knights regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Ducks schedule · Ducks tonight