Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Chicago Blackhawks have a 0.3% chance to make the playoffs, down 0.3 points since yesterday, and a 0.0% chance to win the Central. They project to 69 points (likely 58 to 80), from 10,000 simulations.
Not yet in their own hands
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 14th hardest of 32
Who should Hawks fans root for tonight?
Change in Hawks playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Hawks at Lightning+0.3
Predators at AvalancheBarely matters
Blues at DevilsBarely matters
Mammoth at CanadiensBarely matters
Ducks at OilersBarely matters
Golden Knights at Red WingsBarely matters
Canucks at JetsBarely matters
Hurricanes at IslandersBarely matters
Flyers at RangersBarely matters
Bruins at PenguinsBarely matters
Stars at Blue JacketsBarely mattersWestern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oilers | 16 | 25 | 98% | 0.0 | 69% | 111 |
| 2 |  Wild | 17 | 25 | 98% | −0.1 | 51% | 111 |
| 3 |  Stars | 15 | 19 | 92% | −0.5 | 20% | 105 |
| 4 | Avalanche | 16 | 19 | 91% | −0.5 | 19% | 104 |
| 5 |  Golden Knights | 17 | 22 | 87% | −0.3 | 20% | 102 |
| 6 |  Mammoth | 16 | 20 | 78% | +0.4 | 7% | 99 |
| 7 |  Kraken | 15 | 19 | 67% | +6.8 | 7% | 96 |
| 8 |  Predators | 15 | 17 | 52% | −0.2 | 2% | 94 |
| 9 |  Ducks | 15 | 15 | 40% | −0.6 | 3% | 90 |
| 10 |  Blues | 15 | 15 | 31% | −1.2 | <1% | 89 |
| 11 |  Kings | 14 | 12 | 23% | +6.3 | <1% | 86 |
| 12 |  Flames | 16 | 15 | 18% | −0.1 | <1% | 84 |
| 13 |  Sharks | 17 | 15 | 16% | −9.0 | <1% | 84 |
| 14 |  Jets | 16 | 13 | 8% | −0.5 | <1% | 81 |
| 15 | Blackhawks | 16 | 9 | <1% | −0.3 | 0% | 69 |
| 16 | Canucks | 17 | 7 | <1% | 0.0 | 0% | 59 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Blackhawks playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Blackhawks' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Chicago Blackhawks have a 0.3% chance to make the playoffs (down 0.3 points since yesterday) and a 0.0% chance to win the Central Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Blackhawks' magic number?
- The Hawks cannot clinch on their own yet: guaranteeing a spot would take more than the 136 points left in their 68 games, so it still depends on other results.
- How many points will the Blackhawks finish with?
- The model projects about 69 points, with 58 to 80 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 47.
- How hard is the Blackhawks' remaining schedule?
- Their 68 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.557 in the official standings, the 14th hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Blackhawks fans root for tonight?
- Nothing else tonight moves the Hawks' odds by even a tenth of a point.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Hawks schedule · Hawks tonight