Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Calgary Flames have a 17.7% chance to make the playoffs, down 0.1 points since yesterday, and a 0.5% chance to win the Pacific. They project to 84 points (likely 73 to 95), from 10,000 simulations.
Not yet in their own hands
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 27th hardest of 32
Who should Flames fans root for tonight?
Change in Flames playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Root for Oilers over Ducks+0.7
Root for Canadiens over Mammoth+0.5
Root for Red Wings over Golden Knights+0.5
Root for Devils over Blues+0.4
Root for Avalanche over Predators+0.3
Root for Canucks over Jets+0.2
Root for Blue Jackets over Stars+0.2
Blackhawks at LightningBarely matters
Hurricanes at IslandersBarely matters
Flyers at RangersBarely matters
Bruins at PenguinsBarely mattersWestern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oilers | 16 | 25 | 98% | 0.0 | 69% | 111 |
| 2 |  Wild | 17 | 25 | 98% | −0.1 | 51% | 111 |
| 3 |  Stars | 15 | 19 | 92% | −0.5 | 20% | 105 |
| 4 | Avalanche | 16 | 19 | 91% | −0.5 | 19% | 104 |
| 5 |  Golden Knights | 17 | 22 | 87% | −0.3 | 20% | 102 |
| 6 |  Mammoth | 16 | 20 | 78% | +0.4 | 7% | 99 |
| 7 |  Kraken | 15 | 19 | 67% | +6.8 | 7% | 96 |
| 8 |  Predators | 15 | 17 | 52% | −0.2 | 2% | 94 |
| 9 |  Ducks | 15 | 15 | 40% | −0.6 | 3% | 90 |
| 10 |  Blues | 15 | 15 | 31% | −1.2 | <1% | 89 |
| 11 |  Kings | 14 | 12 | 23% | +6.3 | <1% | 86 |
| 12 |  Flames | 16 | 15 | 18% | −0.1 | <1% | 84 |
| 13 |  Sharks | 17 | 15 | 16% | −9.0 | <1% | 84 |
| 14 |  Jets | 16 | 13 | 8% | −0.5 | <1% | 81 |
| 15 |  Blackhawks | 16 | 9 | <1% | −0.3 | 0% | 69 |
| 16 | Canucks | 17 | 7 | <1% | 0.0 | 0% | 59 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Flames playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Flames' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Calgary Flames have a 17.7% chance to make the playoffs (down 0.1 points since yesterday) and a 0.5% chance to win the Pacific Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Flames' magic number?
- The Flames cannot clinch on their own yet: guaranteeing a spot would take more than the 136 points left in their 68 games, so it still depends on other results.
- How many points will the Flames finish with?
- The model projects about 84 points, with 73 to 95 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 79.
- How hard is the Flames' remaining schedule?
- Their 68 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.542 in the official standings, the 27th hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Flames fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Ducks at Oilers: root for the Oilers, worth +0.7 points of playoff odds compared with a Ducks regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Flames schedule · Flames tonight