Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Minnesota Wild have a 98.0% chance to make the playoffs, down 0.1 points since yesterday, and a 51.2% chance to win the Central. They project to 111 points (likely 100 to 122), from 10,000 simulations.
Points to guarantee a spot
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 29th hardest of 32
Who should Wild fans root for tonight?
Change in Wild playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Western Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 25 | 98% | 0.0 | 69% | 111 | |
| 2 | 17 | 25 | 98% | −0.1 | 51% | 111 | |
| 3 | 15 | 19 | 92% | −0.5 | 20% | 105 | |
| 4 | 16 | 19 | 91% | −0.5 | 19% | 104 | |
| 5 | 17 | 22 | 87% | −0.3 | 20% | 102 | |
| 6 | 16 | 20 | 78% | +0.4 | 7% | 99 | |
| 7 | 15 | 19 | 67% | +6.8 | 7% | 96 | |
| 8 | 15 | 17 | 52% | −0.2 | 2% | 94 | |
| 9 | 15 | 15 | 40% | −0.6 | 3% | 90 | |
| 10 | 15 | 15 | 31% | −1.2 | <1% | 89 | |
| 11 | 14 | 12 | 23% | +6.3 | <1% | 86 | |
| 12 | 16 | 15 | 18% | −0.1 | <1% | 84 | |
| 13 | 17 | 15 | 16% | −9.0 | <1% | 84 | |
| 14 | 16 | 13 | 8% | −0.5 | <1% | 81 | |
| 15 | 16 | 9 | <1% | −0.3 | 0% | 69 | |
| 16 | 17 | 7 | <1% | 0.0 | 0% | 59 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Wild playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Wild' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Minnesota Wild have a 98.0% chance to make the playoffs (down 0.1 points since yesterday) and a 51.2% chance to win the Central Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Wild' magic number?
- The Wild need 132 more points to guarantee a playoff spot whatever anyone else does (tiebreakers ignored, so it is slightly conservative). They have 67 games left.
- How many points will the Wild finish with?
- The model projects about 111 points, with 100 to 122 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 124.
- How hard is the Wild' remaining schedule?
- Their 67 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.537 in the official standings, the 29th hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Wild fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Blues at Devils: root for the Devils, worth +0.1 points of playoff odds compared with a Blues regulation win.
- How many wild card teams are in the NHL playoffs?
- Four: two in each conference. The top three clubs in each division qualify, and the next two clubs in each conference by points take the wild cards, for 16 playoff teams.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Wild schedule · Wild tonight