Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Utah Mammoth have a 78.1% chance to make the playoffs, up 0.4 points since yesterday, and a 7.1% chance to win the Central. They project to 99 points (likely 88 to 110), from 10,000 simulations.
Not yet in their own hands
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 28th hardest of 32
Who should Mammoth fans root for tonight?
Change in Mammoth playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Mammoth at Canadiens+6.0
Root for Devils over Blues+0.9
Root for Avalanche over Predators+0.7
Root for Oilers over Ducks+0.5
Root for Canucks over Jets+0.3
Root for Red Wings over Golden Knights+0.3
Root for Blue Jackets over Stars+0.3
Blackhawks at LightningBarely matters
Hurricanes at IslandersBarely matters
Flyers at RangersBarely matters
Bruins at PenguinsBarely mattersWestern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oilers | 16 | 25 | 98% | 0.0 | 69% | 111 |
| 2 |  Wild | 17 | 25 | 98% | −0.1 | 51% | 111 |
| 3 |  Stars | 15 | 19 | 92% | −0.5 | 20% | 105 |
| 4 | Avalanche | 16 | 19 | 91% | −0.5 | 19% | 104 |
| 5 |  Golden Knights | 17 | 22 | 87% | −0.3 | 20% | 102 |
| 6 | Mammoth | 16 | 20 | 78% | +0.4 | 7% | 99 |
| 7 |  Kraken | 15 | 19 | 67% | +6.8 | 7% | 96 |
| 8 |  Predators | 15 | 17 | 52% | −0.2 | 2% | 94 |
| 9 |  Ducks | 15 | 15 | 40% | −0.6 | 3% | 90 |
| 10 |  Blues | 15 | 15 | 31% | −1.2 | <1% | 89 |
| 11 |  Kings | 14 | 12 | 23% | +6.3 | <1% | 86 |
| 12 |  Flames | 16 | 15 | 18% | −0.1 | <1% | 84 |
| 13 |  Sharks | 17 | 15 | 16% | −9.0 | <1% | 84 |
| 14 |  Jets | 16 | 13 | 8% | −0.5 | <1% | 81 |
| 15 |  Blackhawks | 16 | 9 | <1% | −0.3 | 0% | 69 |
| 16 | Canucks | 17 | 7 | <1% | 0.0 | 0% | 59 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Mammoth playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Mammoth' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Utah Mammoth have a 78.1% chance to make the playoffs (up 0.4 points since yesterday) and a 7.1% chance to win the Central Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Mammoth' magic number?
- The Mammoth cannot clinch on their own yet: guaranteeing a spot would take more than the 136 points left in their 68 games, so it still depends on other results.
- How many points will the Mammoth finish with?
- The model projects about 99 points, with 88 to 110 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 105.
- How hard is the Mammoth' remaining schedule?
- Their 68 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.540 in the official standings, the 28th hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Mammoth fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Blues at Devils: root for the Devils, worth +0.9 points of playoff odds compared with a Blues regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Mammoth schedule · Mammoth tonight