Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Seattle Kraken have a 67.5% chance to make the playoffs, up 6.8 points since yesterday, and a 7.3% chance to win the Pacific. They project to 96 points (likely 85 to 108), from 10,000 simulations.
Points to guarantee a spot
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 31st hardest of 32
Who should Kraken fans root for tonight?
Change in Kraken playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Western Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 25 | 98% | 0.0 | 69% | 111 | |
| 2 | 17 | 25 | 98% | −0.1 | 51% | 111 | |
| 3 | 15 | 19 | 92% | −0.5 | 20% | 105 | |
| 4 | 16 | 19 | 91% | −0.5 | 19% | 104 | |
| 5 | 17 | 22 | 87% | −0.3 | 20% | 102 | |
| 6 | 16 | 20 | 78% | +0.4 | 7% | 99 | |
| 7 | 15 | 19 | 67% | +6.8 | 7% | 96 | |
| 8 | 15 | 17 | 52% | −0.2 | 2% | 94 | |
| 9 | 15 | 15 | 40% | −0.6 | 3% | 90 | |
| 10 | 15 | 15 | 31% | −1.2 | <1% | 89 | |
| 11 | 14 | 12 | 23% | +6.3 | <1% | 86 | |
| 12 | 16 | 15 | 18% | −0.1 | <1% | 84 | |
| 13 | 17 | 15 | 16% | −9.0 | <1% | 84 | |
| 14 | 16 | 13 | 8% | −0.5 | <1% | 81 | |
| 15 | 16 | 9 | <1% | −0.3 | 0% | 69 | |
| 16 | 17 | 7 | <1% | 0.0 | 0% | 59 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Kraken playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Kraken' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Seattle Kraken have a 67.5% chance to make the playoffs (up 6.8 points since yesterday) and a 7.3% chance to win the Pacific Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Kraken' magic number?
- The Kraken need 138 more points to guarantee a playoff spot whatever anyone else does (tiebreakers ignored, so it is slightly conservative). They have 69 games left.
- How many points will the Kraken finish with?
- The model projects about 96 points, with 85 to 108 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 106.
- How hard is the Kraken' remaining schedule?
- Their 69 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.537 in the official standings, the 31st hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Kraken fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Ducks at Oilers: root for the Oilers, worth +1.0 points of playoff odds compared with a Ducks regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Kraken schedule · Kraken tonight