Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Dallas Stars have a 91.7% chance to make the playoffs, down 0.5 points since yesterday, and a 20.1% chance to win the Central. They project to 105 points (likely 94 to 116), from 10,000 simulations.
Points to guarantee a spot
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 24th hardest of 32
Who should Stars fans root for tonight?
Change in Stars playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Stars at Blue Jackets+2.9
Root for Devils over Blues+0.5
Root for Avalanche over Predators+0.4
Root for Oilers over Ducks+0.3
Root for Canadiens over Mammoth+0.3
Root for Canucks over Jets+0.2
Golden Knights at Red WingsBarely matters
Blackhawks at LightningBarely matters
Hurricanes at IslandersBarely matters
Flyers at RangersBarely matters
Bruins at PenguinsBarely mattersWestern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oilers | 16 | 25 | 98% | 0.0 | 69% | 111 |
| 2 |  Wild | 17 | 25 | 98% | −0.1 | 51% | 111 |
| 3 | Stars | 15 | 19 | 92% | −0.5 | 20% | 105 |
| 4 | Avalanche | 16 | 19 | 91% | −0.5 | 19% | 104 |
| 5 |  Golden Knights | 17 | 22 | 87% | −0.3 | 20% | 102 |
| 6 |  Mammoth | 16 | 20 | 78% | +0.4 | 7% | 99 |
| 7 |  Kraken | 15 | 19 | 67% | +6.8 | 7% | 96 |
| 8 |  Predators | 15 | 17 | 52% | −0.2 | 2% | 94 |
| 9 |  Ducks | 15 | 15 | 40% | −0.6 | 3% | 90 |
| 10 |  Blues | 15 | 15 | 31% | −1.2 | <1% | 89 |
| 11 |  Kings | 14 | 12 | 23% | +6.3 | <1% | 86 |
| 12 |  Flames | 16 | 15 | 18% | −0.1 | <1% | 84 |
| 13 |  Sharks | 17 | 15 | 16% | −9.0 | <1% | 84 |
| 14 |  Jets | 16 | 13 | 8% | −0.5 | <1% | 81 |
| 15 |  Blackhawks | 16 | 9 | <1% | −0.3 | 0% | 69 |
| 16 | Canucks | 17 | 7 | <1% | 0.0 | 0% | 59 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Stars playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Stars' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Dallas Stars have a 91.7% chance to make the playoffs (down 0.5 points since yesterday) and a 20.1% chance to win the Central Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Stars' magic number?
- The Stars need 138 more points to guarantee a playoff spot whatever anyone else does (tiebreakers ignored, so it is slightly conservative). They have 69 games left.
- How many points will the Stars finish with?
- The model projects about 105 points, with 94 to 116 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 106.
- How hard is the Stars' remaining schedule?
- Their 69 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.547 in the official standings, the 24th hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Stars fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Blues at Devils: root for the Devils, worth +0.5 points of playoff odds compared with a Blues regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Stars schedule · Stars tonight