Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the St. Louis Blues have a 30.9% chance to make the playoffs, down 1.2 points since yesterday, and a 0.5% chance to win the Central. They project to 89 points (likely 77 to 100), from 10,000 simulations.
Not yet in their own hands
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 25th hardest of 32
Who should Blues fans root for tonight?
Change in Blues playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Blues at Devils+6.8
Root for Canadiens over Mammoth+1.0
Root for Avalanche over Predators+0.9
Root for Oilers over Ducks+0.5
Root for Canucks over Jets+0.4
Root for Blue Jackets over Stars+0.4
Root for Red Wings over Golden Knights+0.4
Blackhawks at LightningBarely matters
Hurricanes at IslandersBarely matters
Flyers at RangersBarely matters
Bruins at PenguinsBarely mattersWestern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oilers | 16 | 25 | 98% | 0.0 | 69% | 111 |
| 2 |  Wild | 17 | 25 | 98% | −0.1 | 51% | 111 |
| 3 |  Stars | 15 | 19 | 92% | −0.5 | 20% | 105 |
| 4 | Avalanche | 16 | 19 | 91% | −0.5 | 19% | 104 |
| 5 |  Golden Knights | 17 | 22 | 87% | −0.3 | 20% | 102 |
| 6 |  Mammoth | 16 | 20 | 78% | +0.4 | 7% | 99 |
| 7 |  Kraken | 15 | 19 | 67% | +6.8 | 7% | 96 |
| 8 |  Predators | 15 | 17 | 52% | −0.2 | 2% | 94 |
| 9 |  Ducks | 15 | 15 | 40% | −0.6 | 3% | 90 |
| 10 | Blues | 15 | 15 | 31% | −1.2 | <1% | 89 |
| 11 |  Kings | 14 | 12 | 23% | +6.3 | <1% | 86 |
| 12 |  Flames | 16 | 15 | 18% | −0.1 | <1% | 84 |
| 13 |  Sharks | 17 | 15 | 16% | −9.0 | <1% | 84 |
| 14 |  Jets | 16 | 13 | 8% | −0.5 | <1% | 81 |
| 15 |  Blackhawks | 16 | 9 | <1% | −0.3 | 0% | 69 |
| 16 | Canucks | 17 | 7 | <1% | 0.0 | 0% | 59 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Blues playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Blues' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the St. Louis Blues have a 30.9% chance to make the playoffs (down 1.2 points since yesterday) and a 0.5% chance to win the Central Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Blues' magic number?
- The Blues cannot clinch on their own yet: guaranteeing a spot would take more than the 138 points left in their 69 games, so it still depends on other results.
- How many points will the Blues finish with?
- The model projects about 89 points, with 77 to 100 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 84.
- How hard is the Blues' remaining schedule?
- Their 69 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.546 in the official standings, the 25th hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Blues fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Mammoth at Canadiens: root for the Canadiens, worth +1.0 points of playoff odds compared with a Mammoth regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Blues schedule · Blues tonight