Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Vegas Golden Knights have a 86.6% chance to make the playoffs, down 0.3 points since yesterday, and a 20.0% chance to win the Pacific. They project to 102 points (likely 91 to 112), from 10,000 simulations.
Not yet in their own hands
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 23rd hardest of 32
Who should Knights fans root for tonight?
Change in Knights playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Knights at Red Wings+4.4
Root for Oilers over Ducks+0.6
Root for Avalanche over Predators+0.4
Root for Canadiens over Mammoth+0.3
Root for Devils over Blues+0.3
Root for Canucks over Jets+0.2
Root for Blue Jackets over Stars+0.2
Blackhawks at LightningBarely matters
Hurricanes at IslandersBarely matters
Flyers at RangersBarely matters
Bruins at PenguinsBarely mattersWestern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oilers | 16 | 25 | 98% | 0.0 | 69% | 111 |
| 2 |  Wild | 17 | 25 | 98% | −0.1 | 51% | 111 |
| 3 |  Stars | 15 | 19 | 92% | −0.5 | 20% | 105 |
| 4 | Avalanche | 16 | 19 | 91% | −0.5 | 19% | 104 |
| 5 | Golden Knights | 17 | 22 | 87% | −0.3 | 20% | 102 |
| 6 |  Mammoth | 16 | 20 | 78% | +0.4 | 7% | 99 |
| 7 |  Kraken | 15 | 19 | 67% | +6.8 | 7% | 96 |
| 8 |  Predators | 15 | 17 | 52% | −0.2 | 2% | 94 |
| 9 |  Ducks | 15 | 15 | 40% | −0.6 | 3% | 90 |
| 10 |  Blues | 15 | 15 | 31% | −1.2 | <1% | 89 |
| 11 |  Kings | 14 | 12 | 23% | +6.3 | <1% | 86 |
| 12 |  Flames | 16 | 15 | 18% | −0.1 | <1% | 84 |
| 13 |  Sharks | 17 | 15 | 16% | −9.0 | <1% | 84 |
| 14 |  Jets | 16 | 13 | 8% | −0.5 | <1% | 81 |
| 15 |  Blackhawks | 16 | 9 | <1% | −0.3 | 0% | 69 |
| 16 | Canucks | 17 | 7 | <1% | 0.0 | 0% | 59 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Golden Knights playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Golden Knights' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Vegas Golden Knights have a 86.6% chance to make the playoffs (down 0.3 points since yesterday) and a 20.0% chance to win the Pacific Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Golden Knights' magic number?
- The Knights cannot clinch on their own yet: guaranteeing a spot would take more than the 134 points left in their 67 games, so it still depends on other results.
- How many points will the Golden Knights finish with?
- The model projects about 102 points, with 91 to 112 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 109.
- How hard is the Golden Knights' remaining schedule?
- Their 67 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.547 in the official standings, the 23rd hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Golden Knights fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Ducks at Oilers: root for the Oilers, worth +0.6 points of playoff odds compared with a Ducks regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Knights schedule · Knights tonight