Make the playoffs · as of Thu, Nov 5
As of Thursday, November 5, the Carolina Hurricanes have a 98.7% chance to make the playoffs, down 0.1 points since yesterday, and a 80.3% chance to win the Metropolitan. They project to 114 points (likely 103 to 125), from 10,000 simulations.
Points to guarantee a spot
At their current points %
Opponents' points %, 9th hardest of 32
Who should Canes fans root for tonight?
Change in Canes playoff odds if your pick wins in regulation instead of losing in regulation, Thu, Nov 5.
Canes at Islanders+0.7
Root for Blues over Devils+0.1
Stars at Blue JacketsBarely matters
Golden Knights at Red WingsBarely matters
Flyers at RangersBarely matters
Blackhawks at LightningBarely matters
Mammoth at CanadiensBarely matters
Bruins at PenguinsBarely matters
Canucks at JetsBarely matters
Ducks at OilersBarely matters
Predators at AvalancheBarely mattersEastern Conference playoff race
Playoff picture| # | Team | GP | Pts | Playoffs | 1 day | Div | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hurricanes | 17 | 26 | 99% | −0.1 | 80% | 114 |
| 2 |  Lightning | 14 | 20 | 89% | −0.2 | 31% | 107 |
| 3 |  Bruins | 16 | 23 | 88% | −1.0 | 26% | 107 |
| 4 | Canadiens | 15 | 21 | 88% | −0.5 | 26% | 107 |
| 5 |  Devils | 15 | 20 | 73% | +0.7 | 10% | 99 |
| 6 |  Senators | 17 | 21 | 63% | +7.8 | 7% | 99 |
| 7 |  Sabres | 15 | 17 | 61% | −11.8 | 6% | 99 |
| 8 |  Capitals | 14 | 16 | 56% | −0.6 | 5% | 95 |
| 9 |  Islanders | 14 | 16 | 46% | −0.7 | 3% | 94 |
| 10 |  Panthers | 16 | 20 | 42% | +7.3 | 3% | 95 |
| 11 |  Red Wings | 16 | 17 | 23% | −0.3 | <1% | 90 |
| 12 |  Blue Jackets | 13 | 12 | 21% | +0.6 | <1% | 87 |
| 13 |  Rangers | 16 | 17 | 20% | +0.3 | <1% | 87 |
| 14 |  Maple Leafs | 17 | 18 | 13% | −0.3 | <1% | 87 |
| 15 | Penguins | 15 | 12 | 12% | −0.7 | <1% | 84 |
| 16 | Flyers | 17 | 12 | 5% | −0.5 | <1% | 80 |
Sorted by playoff odds. GP and points from the official NHL standings; odds, division-title chances and projected points from the Tonight.hockey model. “1 day” is the change in playoff odds since yesterday, in percentage points.
Hurricanes playoff chances and magic number
- What are the Hurricanes' playoff chances?
- As of Thursday, November 5, the Carolina Hurricanes have a 98.7% chance to make the playoffs (down 0.1 points since yesterday) and a 80.3% chance to win the Metropolitan Division, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.
- What is the Hurricanes' magic number?
- The Canes need 131 more points to guarantee a playoff spot whatever anyone else does (tiebreakers ignored, so it is slightly conservative). They have 67 games left.
- How many points will the Hurricanes finish with?
- The model projects about 114 points, with 103 to 125 as the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). At their current points percentage they would finish with 128.
- How hard is the Hurricanes' remaining schedule?
- Their 67 remaining opponents have an average points percentage of 0.566 in the official standings, the 9th hardest remaining schedule of 32 teams. Early in the season this moves a lot.
- Who should Hurricanes fans root for tonight?
- The game that matters most is Blues at Devils: root for the Blues, worth +0.1 points of playoff odds compared with a Devils regulation win.
Updated from official NHL results; odds hold still for the day and move after each night's games. How the playoff model works · Canes schedule · Canes tonight